An important part of the Business Plan is the financial forecasts. Of course, as an accountant I’m bound to say that, but it doesn’t make it any less true. Appropriate forecasts will enable you to set the targets for the whole business. Points to cover can be broken down into distinct areas:
Sales Revenue
- Take into account current turnover and any potential increase
- Make full use of marketing survey data
- Convert forecasts into targets
Expenditure
To estimate the expenditure that will be incurred in running the business:
- Identify and estimate fixed costs item by item
- Calculate variable costs on the basis of projected revenues
Profits
You will need to forecast the level of anticipated profits from the assumptions made to date about the business. Because nothing is certain in business, it is vital to apply a sensitivity analysis to the assumptions to identify which ones are critical to success. This means testing what happens if sales are less, or expenses are more, and how much an item can change by before it totally changes the picture. Then you can carefully plan your reactions to possible scenarios, such as:
- How will you respond if a competitor starts a price war?
- Could your production facilities cope with a large order?
- What would be the effect on your cashflow?
Funding Review
A review of funding provisions for the business in the light of the capital and cashflow requirements will include:
- Identifying assets and liabilities, including money owed to you and stocks held
- Drawing up balance sheets based on the forecasts
- Identifying how much of the cash needed can be financed from profits or trade creditors. The remainder needs to be provided either by the proprietors or by borrowing(s)
It’s important to review your forecasts on a regular basis, and monitor the key things that matter if you are to reach your goals you set for your business, not just when starting up but throughout the business cycle, and particularly when faced with a period of growth.
Lucentum can help you succeed in business and in preparing financial forecasts for a Business Plan. Fortunately we are a member of the ICAEW Business Advice Service and so can offer you a free first meeting. Please contact our office on 01245 216800 or email info@lucentum.co.uk if you would like to find out more.
Lucentum is a forward thinking accountancy business, based in Chelmsford, Essex. We offer a wide range of services, including for start-up businesses. www.lucentum.co.uk
